Report: Arab voter turnout could reach 70%

Mohammad Magadli reported projected turnout of 65% to 68% among Arab voters, with room for a further increase. A calculation of 19 seats posted in response relies on separate assumptions.

In an October 21 post, Magadli attributed the figures to statistician Yosef Maklada. He said participation could reach 70% on election day. The post provides no sample details or margin of error, so the figures should be read as a reported estimate rather than turnout measured at polling stations.

In response, Eldad Sitbon, known online as Little Moiz, outlined a scenario giving Arab parties 19 seats. He said the calculation assumes other voting patterns remain as in 2022, only Arab participation rises to 70%, and demographic growth is factored in. This is his conditional calculation, not a new seat poll or a guaranteed result.

In a filmed interview excerpt supplied to the newsroom, Ahmad Tibi predicts high Arab participation and discusses translating it into political influence. These are a politician's expectations; the filming date has not been verified. Such projections alone do not establish how many seats each list will win.